The United States has recently seen a financial collapse in the real estate market. It has its roots in the issuing of subprime mortgages, the majority of which were adjustable-rate mortgages. In mid-2006, interest rates for these mortgages began to increase causing a drastic increase in delinquencies. As financial institutions and investors had to deal with an increasing number of defaulted home loans, their overall capital was affected, which paved the way for an economic recession.
Subprime mortgages are home loans offered at higher than average interest rates. These offer people with bad credit a chance to obtain a mortgage to buy their house. They will generally have a credit score below 620 on a scale between 300 and 850. The fact that the borrowers have a deficient credit rating makes them a higher risk, which translates into higher interest rates on the home loan. This type of loan is relatively new, inspired by excess wealth and the desire to invest it in money-making ventures. Investors recognized that there was a market for loans to high-risk borrowers with imperfect credit histories.
There are a few different types of subprime mortgages, although the most common are adjustable rate mortgages (ARM). These are mortgages that initially have a fixed interest rate, but change to a variable rate based on a rate index, plus a margin. For instance, a 2/28 ARM will remain at a constant interest rate for two years, and then reset. Some borrowers took such a loan before the financial crisis, planning to improve their credit during the first two years, then reset it at a better interest rate. However, when the crisis occurred, it became difficult to get a reasonable rate.
In the 1990s, there was a dramatic increase in the number of subprime mortgages handed out in the United States. By 2006, approximately 20 percent of the mortgage market consisted of subprime loans. This created a risky market, as these borrowers are more likely to default on their payments. However, since there was an opportunity to make extra money through the higher interest rates, lenders were encouraged to take on the risk. “Predatory lenders” also entered the market. These lenders preyed on inexperienced customers that were looking for a home loan.
In general practice, certain conditions must be met in order to qualify for a mortgage, but standards started to decline in the years before the crisis. Loan approvals were made without complete review of the required documentation. Mortgage fraud became more common, and the FBI warned that it could create significant credit risks. Traditionally, mortgage deals were created through banks, and these financial organizations retained the credit risk of lending money. This changed as banks began to sell the credit risk to investors using mortgage-backed securities. This meant that banks wanted to process as many loans as possible, and there was less incentive to check credit quality. Between 1996 and 2007, there was a three-fold increase in the number of these mortgage-backed securities.
By the fall of 2007, there were high market interest rates attached to the variable rate subprime mortgages. Many of the borrowers couldn’t afford the higher mortgage payments and they defaulted on their payments, went into foreclosure, or filed for bankruptcy. Suddenly, many homes were available for purchase and house values all over the country started to decline. The homeowners that were no longer able to make their mortgage payments found themselves in a bad real estate market, unable to sell their unaffordable homes. This also reduced profits for builders that were constructing many new houses. As the situation worsened, investors started to take their money out of mortgage bonds. This created many problems for financial institutions, forcing lenders to close their businesses or merge with others. It produced a situation where banks had less money available for new loans.
The crisis that started with subprime loans in the real estate market ended up spreading to the economy as a whole, creating the worst recession in decades. Real estate makes up about ten percent of the U.S. economy. When the crisis hit, construction jobs became more scarce, increasing unemployment in that sector. When real estate sales declined, the value of houses also fell. As a result, homeowners were not able to take out as much money in home equity loans, reducing consumer spending. As consumer spending declined, there was further unemployment and the downward spiral continued.
By 2008, the U.S. government created a $168 billion economic stimulus package in an attempt to keep the country functioning for long enough to come out of the recession. The Emergency Economic Stability Act was also passed, extending $700 billion to bailout some failing financial institutions. Despite government and private action to remedy the situation, it will still take some time to recover from the impact of this financial collapse.